Seminars and Colloquia
Physics
The Solar Drivers of Space Weather: What are the key issues for Improving Short to Medium Range S Forecasting?
Wed, Mar 06, 2019,
04:00 PM
at Seminar Hall 31, 2nd Floor, Main Building
Dr. Angelos Vourlidas
Johns Hopkins University
Abstract:
Our scientific understanding of the solar drivers of Space Weather (SpW), i.e. Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), flares, and solar energetic particles (SEPs), has improved considerably in the last 20+ years thanks to a plethora of space missions and modeling advances. Yet, there has been relatively little progress in forecasting the geo-effectiveness of a given CME and associated phenomena. Why is that? What are the issues that are holding back progress in short to medium-term forecasting (up to 7 days) of Space Weather?
In this talk, I review the scientific advances, identify the key open questions relevant to SpW forecasting, and offer possible mitigation strategies for consideration.